Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Range, Low

This dataset tracks longer run fomc summary of economic projections for the civilian unemployment rate, range, low over time.

Latest Value

3.50

Year-over-Year Change

0.00%

Date Range

2/18/2009 - 6/18/2025

Summary

The Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections tracks the Federal Reserve's long-term unemployment rate expectations. This metric provides crucial insights into anticipated labor market conditions.

Analysis & Context

This economic indicator provides valuable insights into current market conditions and economic trends. The data is updated regularly by the Federal Reserve and represents one of the most reliable sources for economic analysis.

Understanding this metric helps economists, policymakers, and investors make informed decisions about economic conditions and future trends. The interactive chart above allows you to explore historical patterns and identify key trends over time.

About This Dataset

This projection represents the Federal Open Market Committee's forward-looking estimate of the lowest potential unemployment rate. It helps economists and policymakers understand structural economic expectations.

Methodology

Data collected through Federal Reserve economic forecasting models and expert panel assessments.

Historical Context

Used in monetary policy planning and long-term economic strategy development.

Key Facts

  • Represents long-term unemployment rate expectations
  • Updated quarterly by FOMC experts
  • Critical for monetary policy planning

FAQs

Q: What does the UNRATERLLR series represent?

A: It shows the Federal Reserve's lowest expected long-term unemployment rate. Helps predict future labor market conditions.

Q: How often is this projection updated?

A: The FOMC updates these projections quarterly during their economic assessment meetings.

Q: Why are these unemployment projections important?

A: They guide monetary policy decisions and provide insights into potential economic performance.

Q: How accurate are these long-term projections?

A: Projections are expert estimates and can change based on economic conditions and new data.

Q: Who uses these unemployment rate projections?

A: Policymakers, economists, investors, and financial analysts rely on these forecasts.

Related News

Understanding the Federal Reserve's Dot Plot for Interest Rate Predictions

Understanding the Federal Reserve's Dot Plot for Interest Rate Predictions

Unveiling the Federal Reserve Dot Plot: A Crucial Tool for Interest Rate Forecasting The Federal Reserve dot plot is a critical tool in understanding how the central bank projects future interest rates and shapes US monetary policy. By examining the dot plot, policymakers and economists gain insights into the anticipated direction of interest rates, guiding financial markets and influencing economic forecasts. Its significance is often highlighted during Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) mee

September 18, 20253 min read
U.S. Stock Futures Stagnant Despite Positive Jobless Claims and GDP

U.S. Stock Futures Stagnant Despite Positive Jobless Claims and GDP

Why US Stock Futures Remain Stagnant Despite Positive Economic Indicators The current investment landscape is puzzling for many as US stock futures struggle to show a definite trend despite favorable economic signals. These signals, such as jobless claims and Q2 GDP figures, suggest a healthy economy. Given the roles of the stock market and the Federal Reserve's decisions on rate hikes, it is surprising to witness this stagnation. Inflation trends and the Fed's signals about future policies pla

September 26, 20253 min read
U.S. Home Sales Decline In August Due To High Prices

U.S. Home Sales Decline In August Due To High Prices

August 2023 U.S. Home Sales Decline Amid Rising Mortgage Rates and High Prices In August 2023, U.S. home sales experienced a notable decline, highlighting a distressing trend in the housing market. Homeownership is more costly these days. High home prices and soaring 30 year mortgage rates, combined with limited housing inventory, pose significant challenges for potential buyers and cast a shadow on economic recovery efforts. Many potential homebuyers find themselves increasingly priced out of

September 26, 20253 min read
U.S. jobless claims decline to lowest level since mid-July

U.S. jobless claims decline to lowest level since mid-July

U.S. Jobless Claims Drop: A Positive Sign for Economic Growth The U.S. economy is signaling a positive turn as the initial jobless claims have dropped to their lowest level since mid-July, suggesting a more resilient labor market. This decline in jobless claims is not just a number; it reflects crucial dynamics in the U.S. economy and employment landscape. As people file fewer claims for unemployment benefits, it suggests a strengthening employment market and a recovering economy. Also, the cur

September 26, 20253 min read
U.S. Trade Deficit Decreases As Businesses Anticipate Tariff Hikes

U.S. Trade Deficit Decreases As Businesses Anticipate Tariff Hikes

U.S. Trade Deficit Reaches Two-Year Low Amid Anticipated Tariff Hikes The recent announcement that the U.S. trade deficit has reached a two-year low signals significant developments for the national economy. This change may, in part, be influenced by the anticipation of tariff hikes, which are affecting trade patterns. As this event unfolds, it has implications for the U.S. GDP, underscoring the importance of reducing the trade deficit. Trade tensions have long shaped the global economic landsc

September 26, 20252 min read
U.S. Treasury Yields Increase Amid Strong Economic Growth and Inflation Concerns

U.S. Treasury Yields Increase Amid Strong Economic Growth and Inflation Concerns

Treasury Yields Surge Amid Economic Growth and Inflation Concerns Treasury yields are surging as investors closely monitor the evolving U.S. economic landscape. Recent data 10-year Treasury yield. With economic growth on one side and inflation data on the other, it's essential to unpack these complex dynamics. By analyzing these factors, we gain insights into the Federal Reserve's role in shaping monetary policy and the consequential market implications. The Federal Reserve's policies, market v

September 26, 20253 min read

Related Trends

Citation

U.S. Federal Reserve, Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Range, Low (UNRATERLLR), retrieved from FRED.