LMN 3 Month Ahead Real Uncertainty
This dataset tracks lmn 3 month ahead real uncertainty over time.
Latest Value
0.90
Year-over-Year Change
19.75%
Date Range
7/1/1960 - 4/1/2025
Summary
The LMN 3 Month Ahead Real Uncertainty metric measures near-term economic uncertainty based on financial market data. It provides an important indicator of volatility and risk for policymakers and analysts.
Analysis & Context
This economic indicator provides valuable insights into current market conditions and economic trends. The data is updated regularly by the Federal Reserve and represents one of the most reliable sources for economic analysis.
Understanding this metric helps economists, policymakers, and investors make informed decisions about economic conditions and future trends. The interactive chart above allows you to explore historical patterns and identify key trends over time.
About This Dataset
This uncertainty index tracks fluctuations in equity returns, inflation expectations, and other financial indicators to estimate the level of economic unpredictability over the next 3 months. It is a valuable tool for assessing market sentiment and potential economic risks.
Methodology
The data is calculated using a statistical model that combines various market-based measures of uncertainty.
Historical Context
Policymakers and investors closely monitor this index to gauge near-term economic stability and market risks.
Key Facts
- Uncertainty index ranges from 0 to 100, with higher values indicating greater economic unpredictability.
- Index reached a record high during the 2008 financial crisis, signaling elevated market risks.
- Closely tracked by Federal Reserve and other policymakers to assess economic conditions.
FAQs
Q: What does this economic trend measure?
A: The LMN 3 Month Ahead Real Uncertainty index tracks near-term economic unpredictability based on financial market data.
Q: Why is this trend relevant for users or analysts?
A: This index provides an important indicator of market volatility and potential economic risks, making it a valuable tool for policymakers and investors.
Q: How is this data collected or calculated?
A: The data is calculated using a statistical model that combines various market-based measures of uncertainty.
Q: How is this trend used in economic policy?
A: Policymakers closely monitor this index to gauge near-term economic stability and potential risks, informing their decisions on monetary policy and other interventions.
Q: Are there update delays or limitations?
A: The index is updated regularly, but there may be some delay in the data availability depending on the underlying market indicators.
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Citation
U.S. Federal Reserve, LMN 3 Month Ahead Real Uncertainty (LMNUR3M), retrieved from FRED.