LMN 1 Month Ahead Real Uncertainty
This dataset tracks lmn 1 month ahead real uncertainty over time.
Latest Value
0.76
Year-over-Year Change
20.07%
Date Range
7/1/1960 - 4/1/2025
Summary
The LMN 1 Month Ahead Real Uncertainty series measures the degree of uncertainty in the economy based on a model of economic conditions over the next month. This forward-looking indicator provides insights into near-term economic trends and volatility.
Analysis & Context
This economic indicator provides valuable insights into current market conditions and economic trends. The data is updated regularly by the Federal Reserve and represents one of the most reliable sources for economic analysis.
Understanding this metric helps economists, policymakers, and investors make informed decisions about economic conditions and future trends. The interactive chart above allows you to explore historical patterns and identify key trends over time.
About This Dataset
The LMN 1 Month Ahead Real Uncertainty index quantifies the real-time level of uncertainty in the U.S. economy. It is calculated using statistical models to estimate the degree of unpredictability in key economic variables over the upcoming month. This metric helps policymakers and analysts assess short-term economic risk and monitor potential sources of volatility.
Methodology
The data is calculated using proprietary statistical models developed by the LMN Research Institute.
Historical Context
Tracking the LMN 1 Month Ahead Real Uncertainty index can inform investment strategies, guide fiscal and monetary policy decisions, and signal potential shifts in consumer and business sentiment.
Key Facts
- The index ranges from 0 to 100, with higher values indicating greater economic uncertainty.
- The LMN index has historically spiked during periods of economic volatility and recessions.
- The data is released monthly by the LMN Research Institute.
FAQs
Q: What does this economic trend measure?
A: The LMN 1 Month Ahead Real Uncertainty index quantifies the degree of unpredictability in near-term U.S. economic conditions based on statistical modeling.
Q: Why is this trend relevant for users or analysts?
A: Tracking this forward-looking uncertainty metric can help policymakers, investors, and analysts assess short-term economic risks and monitor potential sources of volatility.
Q: How is this data collected or calculated?
A: The data is calculated using proprietary statistical models developed by the LMN Research Institute.
Q: How is this trend used in economic policy?
A: The LMN 1 Month Ahead Real Uncertainty index can inform investment strategies, guide fiscal and monetary policy decisions, and signal potential shifts in consumer and business sentiment.
Q: Are there update delays or limitations?
A: The data is released monthly by the LMN Research Institute with minimal delay.
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Citation
U.S. Federal Reserve, LMN 1 Month Ahead Real Uncertainty (LMNUR1M), retrieved from FRED.