Federal Surplus or Deficit [-] as Percent of Gross Domestic Product
This dataset tracks federal surplus or deficit [-] as percent of gross domestic product over time.
Latest Value
-6.28
Year-over-Year Change
-5.19%
Date Range
1/1/1929 - 1/1/2024
Summary
The Federal Surplus or Deficit as Percent of Gross Domestic Product tracks the fiscal balance of the U.S. government relative to the size of the overall economy. It is an important indicator of the federal government's fiscal health and policy stance.
Analysis & Context
This economic indicator provides valuable insights into current market conditions and economic trends. The data is updated regularly by the Federal Reserve and represents one of the most reliable sources for economic analysis.
Understanding this metric helps economists, policymakers, and investors make informed decisions about economic conditions and future trends. The interactive chart above allows you to explore historical patterns and identify key trends over time.
About This Dataset
This economic trend represents the federal government's net operating balance as a percentage of GDP. It measures whether the government is running a surplus (spending less than revenue) or a deficit (spending more than revenue) in a given year. The ratio provides context on the scale of the government's fiscal position.
Methodology
The data is calculated from the National Income and Product Accounts compiled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Historical Context
Policymakers and economists closely monitor this trend to assess the sustainability of government finances and the appropriate stance of fiscal policy.
Key Facts
- The U.S. federal government has run deficits in most years since the 1970s.
- Deficits increased sharply during the Great Recession and COVID-19 pandemic.
- The deficit averaged around 3% of GDP from 2010-2019 before spiking to over 15% in 2020.
FAQs
Q: What does this economic trend measure?
A: This trend measures the federal government's net operating balance as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP). It shows whether the government is running a surplus or a deficit in a given year.
Q: Why is this trend relevant for users or analysts?
A: The federal surplus or deficit relative to GDP is an important indicator of the government's fiscal health and the appropriate stance of fiscal policy. It provides context on the scale of government finances.
Q: How is this data collected or calculated?
A: The data is calculated from the National Income and Product Accounts compiled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Q: How is this trend used in economic policy?
A: Policymakers and economists closely monitor this trend to assess the sustainability of government finances and make decisions about the appropriate level of government spending and taxation.
Q: Are there update delays or limitations?
A: The data is published quarterly with a lag of several months, so there may be delays in accessing the most recent information.
Related News

U.S. Stock Market Rises Amid PCE Inflation Report Analysis
U.S. Stock Market Climbs Amidst Insights from PCE Inflation Report Investors in the U.S. stock market are focusing on the most recent PCE Inflation Report. This key economic indicator helps us understand fluctuations in spending habits on goods and services. Notably, it guides our views about interest rates, influencing market movements. With recent updates, the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq have shown visible trends. These changes are signs of broader economic sentiments shaped by the Federal

U.S. Stock Futures Stagnant Despite Positive Jobless Claims and GDP
Why US Stock Futures Remain Stagnant Despite Positive Economic Indicators The current investment landscape is puzzling for many as US stock futures struggle to show a definite trend despite favorable economic signals. These signals, such as jobless claims and Q2 GDP figures, suggest a healthy economy. Given the roles of the stock market and the Federal Reserve's decisions on rate hikes, it is surprising to witness this stagnation. Inflation trends and the Fed's signals about future policies pla

U.S. Trade Deficit Decreases As Businesses Anticipate Tariff Hikes
U.S. Trade Deficit Reaches Two-Year Low Amid Anticipated Tariff Hikes The recent announcement that the U.S. trade deficit has reached a two-year low signals significant developments for the national economy. This change may, in part, be influenced by the anticipation of tariff hikes, which are affecting trade patterns. As this event unfolds, it has implications for the U.S. GDP, underscoring the importance of reducing the trade deficit. Trade tensions have long shaped the global economic landsc

U.S. Treasury Yields Increase Amid Strong Economic Growth and Inflation Concerns
Treasury Yields Surge Amid Economic Growth and Inflation Concerns Treasury yields are surging as investors closely monitor the evolving U.S. economic landscape. Recent data 10-year Treasury yield. With economic growth on one side and inflation data on the other, it's essential to unpack these complex dynamics. By analyzing these factors, we gain insights into the Federal Reserve's role in shaping monetary policy and the consequential market implications. The Federal Reserve's policies, market v

US Treasury Yields Increase Before Key Economic Data Release
How Treasury Yields Signal Market Expectations Ahead of Crucial Economic Data Release Treasury yields, often referred to as a barometer for the U.S. economy, signal market participants' expectations about future economic conditions. As we approach the release of critical GDP data and unemployment claims, Treasury yields rise, reflecting the collective anticipation about potential shifts in the economic landscape. These yields are central to shaping expectations about Federal Reserve interest ra

Federal Reserve Faces Challenges In Setting U.S. Interest Rates
The Federal Reserve's Challenge in Interest Rate Decisions Interest rates play a pivotal role in the U.S. economy, impacting everything from the cost of borrowing to the returns on savings. The Federal Reserve, as the nation’s central bank, is responsible for setting these rates to steer monetary policy towards economic stability. In doing so, the Federal Reserve navigates through various economic indicators like inflation, employment rates, and GDP growth, a task made more complex by current e
Related Trends
Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average
CPIAUCNS
Capacity Utilization: Total Index
TCU
Commercial and Industrial Loans, All Commercial Banks
TOTCI
Share of Foreign Born in Home Owners Loan Corporation (HOLC) Neighborhood A
RLMSHFBHOLCNA
Home Ownership Rate in Home Owners Loan Corporation (HOLC) Neighborhood C
RLMSHHORHOLCNC
Share of Foreign Born in Home Owners Loan Corporation (HOLC) Neighborhood C
RLMSHFBHOLCNC
Citation
U.S. Federal Reserve, Federal Surplus or Deficit [-] as Percent of Gross Domestic Product (FYFSGDA188S), retrieved from FRED.