Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, Midpoint
FEDTARRMLR • Economic Data from Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED)
Latest Value
3.20
Year-over-Year Change
28.00%
Date Range
6/17/2015 - 6/18/2025
Summary
The Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate tracks the Federal Reserve's long-term interest rate expectations. This metric provides critical insight into monetary policy outlook and potential future economic conditions.
Analysis & Context
This economic indicator provides valuable insights into current market conditions and economic trends. The data is updated regularly by the Federal Reserve and represents one of the most reliable sources for economic analysis.
Understanding this metric helps economists, policymakers, and investors make informed decisions about economic conditions and future trends. The interactive chart above allows you to explore historical patterns and identify key trends over time.
About This Dataset
This projection represents the Federal Open Market Committee's consensus view on the neutral interest rate over an extended time horizon. Economists and market participants closely analyze this data to understand potential future monetary policy trajectories and economic growth expectations.
Methodology
The data is collected through confidential surveys and projections made by FOMC members during their regular economic assessment meetings.
Historical Context
This trend is used by policymakers, investors, and financial analysts to gauge potential long-term interest rate environments and economic stability.
Key Facts
- Represents FOMC members' long-term interest rate expectations
- Updated periodically to reflect changing economic conditions
- Critical indicator for understanding potential future monetary policy
FAQs
Q: What does the FEDTARRMLR metric represent?
A: It represents the Federal Reserve's long-term projection for the federal funds rate midpoint. This metric provides insight into expected future monetary policy conditions.
Q: How often is this projection updated?
A: The projection is typically updated quarterly during FOMC meetings. Each update reflects the committee's current economic outlook and potential interest rate trajectories.
Q: Why do investors care about this metric?
A: Investors use this projection to understand potential future interest rate environments, which can impact investment strategies, bond yields, and overall economic expectations.
Q: How accurate are these long-term projections?
A: While valuable, long-term projections are inherently uncertain and subject to change based on evolving economic conditions and unexpected events.
Q: Can the public access these projections?
A: Yes, the Federal Reserve publicly releases these projections after FOMC meetings, making them available through official channels and economic databases.
Related News
S&P 500 Rises With Optimistic U.S. Inflation Report
S&P 500 Soars: Positive U.S. Inflation Developments The S&P 500, a primary stock index that tracks the performance of 500 major U.S. companies, has...
U.S. Stock Market Rises Amid PCE Inflation Report Analysis
U.S. Stock Market Climbs Amidst Insights from PCE Inflation Report Investors in the U.S. stock market are focusing on the most recent PCE Inflation...
U.S. Home Sales Decline In August Due To High Prices
August 2023 U.S. Home Sales Decline Amid Rising Mortgage Rates and High Prices In August 2023, U.S. home sales experienced a notable decline, highl...
U.S. Stock Indices Rebound After Tech Stocks' Recent Decline
US Stock Indices Rebound: Understanding the Market Recovery The recent surge in the US stock market marks a significant upturn, with key indices su...
Gen Z In the U.S. Shifts From Spending To Saving Habits
How Gen Z's Shift from Spending to Saving is Impacting the US Economy Recent trends indicate a significant shift in the spending habits of Gen Z, w...
U.S. Stock Market Futures Rise On Inflation and Tariff News
US Stock Market Futures Rise Amid Inflation Data and Tariff News US stock market futures are on the rise, driven by significant updates in inflatio...
Related Trends
FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, Low
FEDTARRL
FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, High
FEDTARRH
Effective Federal Funds Rate
EFFR
Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, High
FEDTARRHLR
Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, Low
FEDTARRLLR
Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Central Tendency, Midpoint
FEDTARCTMLR
Citation
U.S. Federal Reserve, Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, Midpoint [FEDTARRMLR], retrieved from FRED.
Last Checked: 8/1/2025