Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, Low
FEDTARRLLR • Economic Data from Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED)
Latest Value
2.50
Year-over-Year Change
25.00%
Date Range
6/17/2015 - 6/18/2025
Summary
The Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, Low tracks the Federal Reserve's long-term expectations for the lowest potential federal funds rate. This metric provides critical insight into policymakers' anticipated monetary policy trajectory and economic outlook.
Analysis & Context
This economic indicator provides valuable insights into current market conditions and economic trends. The data is updated regularly by the Federal Reserve and represents one of the most reliable sources for economic analysis.
Understanding this metric helps economists, policymakers, and investors make informed decisions about economic conditions and future trends. The interactive chart above allows you to explore historical patterns and identify key trends over time.
About This Dataset
This trend represents the lower bound of the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) projected federal funds rate range for the long-term economic horizon. Economists and market analysts closely examine this projection to understand potential future monetary policy constraints and economic growth expectations.
Methodology
The data is collected through the Federal Reserve's quarterly Summary of Economic Projections, where FOMC members provide confidential estimates of future economic indicators.
Historical Context
This projection is used by policymakers, investors, and economists to assess potential monetary policy flexibility and long-term economic stability.
Key Facts
- Represents the lowest anticipated federal funds rate in long-term projections
- Updated quarterly by FOMC members
- Critical indicator for understanding potential economic policy constraints
FAQs
Q: What does the FEDTARRLLR trend indicate?
A: It shows the lowest potential federal funds rate in the Federal Reserve's long-term economic projections, reflecting potential monetary policy constraints.
Q: How often is this projection updated?
A: The projection is typically updated quarterly during the FOMC's Summary of Economic Projections.
Q: Why do investors care about this trend?
A: Investors use this projection to understand potential future interest rate environments and make informed investment decisions.
Q: How does this trend relate to economic policy?
A: It provides insight into the Federal Reserve's long-term economic outlook and potential monetary policy strategies.
Q: What are the limitations of this projection?
A: The projection is based on current economic conditions and can change significantly with new economic data or unexpected events.
Related News
S&P 500 Rises With Optimistic U.S. Inflation Report
S&P 500 Soars: Positive U.S. Inflation Developments The S&P 500, a primary stock index that tracks the performance of 500 major U.S. companies, has...
U.S. Stock Market Rises Amid PCE Inflation Report Analysis
U.S. Stock Market Climbs Amidst Insights from PCE Inflation Report Investors in the U.S. stock market are focusing on the most recent PCE Inflation...
U.S. Home Sales Decline In August Due To High Prices
August 2023 U.S. Home Sales Decline Amid Rising Mortgage Rates and High Prices In August 2023, U.S. home sales experienced a notable decline, highl...
U.S. Stock Indices Rebound After Tech Stocks' Recent Decline
US Stock Indices Rebound: Understanding the Market Recovery The recent surge in the US stock market marks a significant upturn, with key indices su...
Gen Z In the U.S. Shifts From Spending To Saving Habits
How Gen Z's Shift from Spending to Saving is Impacting the US Economy Recent trends indicate a significant shift in the spending habits of Gen Z, w...
U.S. Stock Market Futures Rise On Inflation and Tariff News
US Stock Market Futures Rise Amid Inflation Data and Tariff News US stock market futures are on the rise, driven by significant updates in inflatio...
Related Trends
Overnight Bank Funding Rate: 1st Percentile
OBFR1
Secured Overnight Financing Rate: 75th Percentile
SOFR75
Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Central Tendency, Low
FEDTARCTLLR
Primary Credit Rate - Historical Dates of Changes and Rates for Federal Reserve District 8: St. Louis
PCREDIT8
Overnight Bank Funding Volume
OBFRVOL
FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Central Tendency, Midpoint
FEDTARCTM
Citation
U.S. Federal Reserve, Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, Low [FEDTARRLLR], retrieved from FRED.
Last Checked: 8/1/2025