FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, Low
FEDTARRL • Economic Data from Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED)
Latest Value
2.60
Year-over-Year Change
-27.78%
Date Range
1/1/2025 - 1/1/2027
Summary
The FEDTARRL represents the lower bound of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate as projected by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). This metric is crucial for understanding potential monetary policy direction and market expectations for future interest rates.
Analysis & Context
This economic indicator provides valuable insights into current market conditions and economic trends. The data is updated regularly by the Federal Reserve and represents one of the most reliable sources for economic analysis.
Understanding this metric helps economists, policymakers, and investors make informed decisions about economic conditions and future trends. The interactive chart above allows you to explore historical patterns and identify key trends over time.
About This Dataset
This projection reflects the FOMC's forward-looking assessment of potential low-end interest rate targets based on current economic conditions and forecasts. Economists closely analyze these projections to gauge potential monetary policy shifts and economic outlook.
Methodology
The data is collected through the FOMC's quarterly Summary of Economic Projections, which aggregates committee members' individual interest rate expectations.
Historical Context
This trend is used by policymakers, investors, and analysts to anticipate potential changes in monetary policy and assess economic growth expectations.
Key Facts
- Represents the lower bound of potential federal funds rate targets
- Updated quarterly by FOMC committee members
- Critical indicator for understanding potential economic policy direction
FAQs
Q: What does the FEDTARRL actually measure?
A: It measures the lowest projected federal funds rate target range by FOMC members for future economic periods.
Q: How often is this projection updated?
A: The projection is typically updated quarterly during FOMC meetings and economic outlook presentations.
Q: Why do investors care about this metric?
A: It provides insights into potential future monetary policy and helps investors anticipate interest rate changes.
Q: How does this relate to overall economic policy?
A: It serves as a key indicator of the Federal Reserve's economic outlook and potential future monetary interventions.
Q: What are the limitations of this projection?
A: The projection is based on current information and can change rapidly with new economic data or unexpected events.
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Citation
U.S. Federal Reserve, FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, Low [FEDTARRL], retrieved from FRED.
Last Checked: 8/1/2025