Fitted Instantaneous Forward Rate 4 Years Hence
This dataset tracks fitted instantaneous forward rate 4 years hence over time.
Latest Value
3.93
Year-over-Year Change
-5.88%
Date Range
1/2/1990 - 8/1/2025
Summary
The Fitted Instantaneous Forward Rate 4 Years Hence is a key indicator used by economists and policymakers to assess long-term interest rate expectations and inflation outlook.
Analysis & Context
This economic indicator provides valuable insights into current market conditions and economic trends. The data is updated regularly by the Federal Reserve and represents one of the most reliable sources for economic analysis.
Understanding this metric helps economists, policymakers, and investors make informed decisions about economic conditions and future trends. The interactive chart above allows you to explore historical patterns and identify key trends over time.
About This Dataset
This economic trend represents the implied forward interest rate 4 years into the future, as derived from the yield curve. It provides insight into market participants' views on future monetary policy and economic conditions.
Methodology
The data is calculated based on a model that fits a smooth yield curve to treasury securities.
Historical Context
This forward rate metric is closely watched by the Federal Reserve and financial analysts for insights into inflation and growth expectations.
Key Facts
- Indicates expected long-term interest rate levels.
- Helps assess market views on future Fed policy.
- Provides signal about anticipated economic conditions.
FAQs
Q: What does this economic trend measure?
A: The Fitted Instantaneous Forward Rate 4 Years Hence measures the implied future interest rate expected by the market 4 years from now.
Q: Why is this trend relevant for users or analysts?
A: This forward rate metric provides insight into long-term inflation and growth expectations, which are crucial for policymakers and investors.
Q: How is this data collected or calculated?
A: The data is calculated by the Federal Reserve based on a model that fits a smooth yield curve to treasury securities.
Q: How is this trend used in economic policy?
A: The Federal Reserve and financial analysts closely monitor this forward rate as an indicator of market views on future monetary policy and economic conditions.
Q: Are there update delays or limitations?
A: The data is published regularly by the Federal Reserve with minimal delays, providing timely insight into long-term interest rate expectations.
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Citation
U.S. Federal Reserve, Fitted Instantaneous Forward Rate 4 Years Hence (THREEFF4), retrieved from FRED.