Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, High
FEDTARRHLR • Economic Data from Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED)
Latest Value
3.90
Year-over-Year Change
30.00%
Date Range
6/17/2015 - 6/18/2025
Summary
The Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, High represents the Federal Reserve's long-term outlook for potential interest rate trajectories. This projection provides critical insight into monetary policy expectations and potential future economic conditions.
Analysis & Context
This economic indicator provides valuable insights into current market conditions and economic trends. The data is updated regularly by the Federal Reserve and represents one of the most reliable sources for economic analysis.
Understanding this metric helps economists, policymakers, and investors make informed decisions about economic conditions and future trends. The interactive chart above allows you to explore historical patterns and identify key trends over time.
About This Dataset
This trend captures the upper bound of the Federal Open Market Committee's projected federal funds rate range for the long-term economic horizon. Economists and market participants closely analyze these projections to understand potential future monetary policy directions and underlying economic assumptions.
Methodology
The data is collected through confidential FOMC member surveys and consensus estimates during scheduled Federal Reserve meetings.
Historical Context
This projection is used by policymakers, investors, and financial analysts to gauge potential future monetary policy stance and economic growth expectations.
Key Facts
- Represents the upper limit of projected federal funds rate range
- Updated periodically during FOMC meetings
- Reflects long-term economic expectations of Federal Reserve members
FAQs
Q: How often are these projections updated?
A: The FOMC updates these projections quarterly during their scheduled meetings, typically in March, June, September, and December.
Q: What factors influence these long-term rate projections?
A: Factors include inflation expectations, economic growth forecasts, labor market conditions, and global economic trends.
Q: How do investors use these projections?
A: Investors use these projections to make strategic decisions about bond investments, stock allocations, and overall portfolio management.
Q: Are these projections guaranteed to occur?
A: These are forecasts, not guarantees, and can change based on evolving economic conditions and unexpected market developments.
Q: How precise are these long-term projections?
A: While based on expert analysis, long-term projections have inherent uncertainty and become less reliable the further into the future they extend.
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Related Trends
Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, Midpoint
FEDTARRMLR
Effective Federal Funds Rate
EFFR
FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median
FEDTARMD
Overnight Bank Funding Rate: 25th Percentile
OBFR25
FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, High
FEDTARRH
30-Day Average SOFR
SOFR30DAYAVG
Citation
U.S. Federal Reserve, Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, High [FEDTARRHLR], retrieved from FRED.
Last Checked: 8/1/2025