CBOE S&P 500 3-Month Volatility Index

VXVCLS • Economic Data from Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED)

Latest Value

18.49

Year-over-Year Change

-1.49%

Date Range

10/15/2021 - 8/14/2025

Summary

The CBOE S&P 500 3-Month Volatility Index measures expected market volatility over the next three months based on S&P 500 index options. It provides investors and analysts with a forward-looking indicator of market uncertainty and potential price fluctuations.

Analysis & Context

This economic indicator provides valuable insights into current market conditions and economic trends. The data is updated regularly by the Federal Reserve and represents one of the most reliable sources for economic analysis.

Understanding this metric helps economists, policymakers, and investors make informed decisions about economic conditions and future trends. The interactive chart above allows you to explore historical patterns and identify key trends over time.

About This Dataset

This volatility index reflects market participants' expectations of future stock market volatility, serving as a key sentiment indicator for financial markets. Higher values suggest increased investor uncertainty, while lower values indicate more stable market expectations.

Methodology

The index is calculated using implied volatility derived from S&P 500 index options with approximately three months until expiration.

Historical Context

Economists and traders use this index as a critical gauge of market risk and investor sentiment during various economic conditions.

Key Facts

  • Represents expected market volatility over a three-month period
  • Calculated using S&P 500 index options pricing
  • Higher values indicate increased market uncertainty

FAQs

Q: What does a high VXVCLS value mean?

A: A high value indicates increased market uncertainty and potential for significant price swings in the S&P 500 index over the next three months.

Q: How is this index different from other volatility measures?

A: This index specifically focuses on a three-month forward-looking period, providing a medium-term view of market expectations compared to shorter-term volatility measures.

Q: How do professional investors use this index?

A: Investors use the index to assess market risk, adjust portfolio strategies, and make informed decisions about potential market movements.

Q: What economic conditions typically impact this index?

A: Major economic events, geopolitical tensions, monetary policy changes, and significant market news can substantially influence the volatility index.

Q: How frequently is this index updated?

A: The index is calculated and updated in real-time during market trading hours, providing continuous insights into market sentiment.

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Citation

U.S. Federal Reserve, CBOE S&P 500 3-Month Volatility Index [VXVCLS], retrieved from FRED.

Last Checked: 8/1/2025