Leading Index for the United States

USSLIND • Economic Data from Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED)

Latest Value

1.72

Year-over-Year Change

56.36%

Date Range

1/1/1982 - 2/1/2020

Summary

The Leading Index for the United States is a key economic indicator that measures future economic activity and growth trends. It is closely watched by economists and policymakers to assess the overall health and direction of the U.S. economy.

Analysis & Context

This economic indicator provides valuable insights into current market conditions and economic trends. The data is updated regularly by the Federal Reserve and represents one of the most reliable sources for economic analysis.

Understanding this metric helps economists, policymakers, and investors make informed decisions about economic conditions and future trends. The interactive chart above allows you to explore historical patterns and identify key trends over time.

About This Dataset

The Leading Index is a composite of 10 economic indicators that are forward-looking and predictive of future economic conditions. It is designed to signal swings in the business cycle and provide early warnings of turning points in economic activity.

Methodology

The index is calculated by the Conference Board using data from government and private sources.

Historical Context

The Leading Index is a vital tool for monitoring the economy and informing policy decisions.

Key Facts

  • The Leading Index has been published since 1959.
  • It is a composite of 10 economic indicators, including average weekly hours, new orders, and stock prices.
  • Declines in the Leading Index are often an early signal of an impending recession.

FAQs

Q: What does this economic trend measure?

A: The Leading Index for the United States measures future economic activity and provides early signals of turning points in the business cycle.

Q: Why is this trend relevant for users or analysts?

A: The Leading Index is a vital tool for economists, policymakers, and market analysts to assess the overall health and direction of the U.S. economy.

Q: How is this data collected or calculated?

A: The index is calculated by the Conference Board using data from government and private sources.

Q: How is this trend used in economic policy?

A: The Leading Index is closely monitored by the Federal Reserve and other policymakers to inform decisions on monetary and fiscal policies.

Q: Are there update delays or limitations?

A: The Leading Index is published monthly with a lag of approximately two weeks.

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Citation

U.S. Federal Reserve, Leading Index for the United States (USSLIND), retrieved from FRED.