Term Premium on a 5 Year Zero Coupon Bond

THREEFYTP5 • Economic Data from Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED)

Latest Value

0.11

Year-over-Year Change

-41.21%

Date Range

10/4/2021 - 8/1/2025

Summary

The Term Premium on a 5 Year Zero Coupon Bond measures the extra yield investors demand to hold a longer-term bond compared to a series of shorter-term bonds. It provides insights into interest rate expectations and risk assessments.

Analysis & Context

This economic indicator provides valuable insights into current market conditions and economic trends. The data is updated regularly by the Federal Reserve and represents one of the most reliable sources for economic analysis.

Understanding this metric helps economists, policymakers, and investors make informed decisions about economic conditions and future trends. The interactive chart above allows you to explore historical patterns and identify key trends over time.

About This Dataset

The term premium represents the compensation investors require for the additional risk of holding a long-term bond. It is an important indicator of market sentiment and can inform policy decisions and investment strategies.

Methodology

The Federal Reserve calculates this metric using a no-arbitrage, term-structure model.

Historical Context

Policymakers and analysts use the term premium to gauge market uncertainty and inflation expectations.

Key Facts

  • The term premium averaged 1.5% from 1961-2023.
  • A higher term premium indicates greater investor uncertainty.
  • The term premium reached a record low of -0.5% in 2013.

FAQs

Q: What does this economic trend measure?

A: The Term Premium on a 5 Year Zero Coupon Bond measures the extra yield that investors demand to hold a longer-term bond compared to a series of shorter-term bonds.

Q: Why is this trend relevant for users or analysts?

A: The term premium provides insights into market expectations about future interest rates and investor risk assessments, which is valuable information for policymakers and investors.

Q: How is this data collected or calculated?

A: The Federal Reserve calculates this metric using a no-arbitrage, term-structure model.

Q: How is this trend used in economic policy?

A: Policymakers and analysts use the term premium to gauge market uncertainty and inflation expectations, which can inform monetary policy decisions.

Q: Are there update delays or limitations?

A: The term premium data is updated regularly by the Federal Reserve and is considered a reliable indicator of market conditions.

Similar THREEFYTP Trends

Citation

U.S. Federal Reserve, Term Premium on a 5 Year Zero Coupon Bond (THREEFYTP5), retrieved from FRED.