Percent Change from Preceding Period, Not Seasonally Adjusted
This dataset tracks percent change from preceding period, not seasonally adjusted over time.
Latest Value
-4.20
Year-over-Year Change
-566.67%
Date Range
2/1/1992 - 2/1/2025
Summary
This economic trend measures the month-over-month percent change in retail sales, excluding motor vehicles and parts, without adjusting for seasonal variations. It provides insights into consumer spending patterns.
Analysis & Context
This economic indicator provides valuable insights into current market conditions and economic trends. The data is updated regularly by the Federal Reserve and represents one of the most reliable sources for economic analysis.
Understanding this metric helps economists, policymakers, and investors make informed decisions about economic conditions and future trends. The interactive chart above allows you to explore historical patterns and identify key trends over time.
About This Dataset
The 'Percent Change from Preceding Period, Not Seasonally Adjusted' retail sales metric tracks the rate of change in total retail sales, excluding the automotive sector, between consecutive months. This indicator is widely used by economists and policymakers to assess the strength of consumer demand and its implications for the broader economy.
Methodology
The data is collected through monthly surveys of a sample of retail businesses by the U.S. Census Bureau.
Historical Context
This trend is a key input for monitoring economic conditions and informing monetary and fiscal policy decisions.
Key Facts
- Retail sales, excluding motor vehicles and parts, account for about 45% of total retail trade.
- The percent change from the previous month is a closely watched metric for gauging consumer confidence.
- Sustained declines in this trend can signal an economic slowdown or potential recession.
FAQs
Q: What does this economic trend measure?
A: This trend measures the month-over-month percent change in total retail sales, excluding motor vehicles and parts, without adjustment for seasonal variations.
Q: Why is this trend relevant for users or analysts?
A: This metric provides insights into consumer spending patterns, which is a crucial indicator of economic health and can inform policy decisions.
Q: How is this data collected or calculated?
A: The data is collected through monthly surveys of a sample of retail businesses by the U.S. Census Bureau.
Q: How is this trend used in economic policy?
A: This trend is a key input for monitoring economic conditions and informing monetary and fiscal policy decisions by institutions like the Federal Reserve.
Q: Are there update delays or limitations?
A: The data is released monthly, with a typical delay of around two weeks after the end of the reference period.
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Citation
U.S. Federal Reserve, Percent Change from Preceding Period, Not Seasonally Adjusted (MRTSMPCSM4529USN), retrieved from FRED.