JLN 1-Year Ahead Macroeconomic Uncertainty
This dataset tracks jln 1-year ahead macroeconomic uncertainty over time.
Latest Value
1.10
Year-over-Year Change
20.58%
Date Range
7/1/1960 - 4/1/2025
Summary
The JLN 1-Year Ahead Macroeconomic Uncertainty index measures economic uncertainty based on newspaper articles, providing a forward-looking indicator for policymakers and investors.
Analysis & Context
This economic indicator provides valuable insights into current market conditions and economic trends. The data is updated regularly by the Federal Reserve and represents one of the most reliable sources for economic analysis.
Understanding this metric helps economists, policymakers, and investors make informed decisions about economic conditions and future trends. The interactive chart above allows you to explore historical patterns and identify key trends over time.
About This Dataset
The JLN 1-Year Ahead Macroeconomic Uncertainty index captures uncertainty about future economic conditions based on language analysis of newspaper articles. It is a leading indicator that can inform policy decisions and market strategies.
Methodology
The index is calculated by economists using natural language processing techniques to quantify uncertainty mentions in news media.
Historical Context
This forward-looking uncertainty measure is closely watched by the Federal Reserve and other institutions to gauge economic risks.
Key Facts
- The index has a long history dating back to the 1980s.
- Elevated uncertainty levels are often associated with economic recessions.
- The index is updated monthly by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
FAQs
Q: What does this economic trend measure?
A: The JLN 1-Year Ahead Macroeconomic Uncertainty index measures uncertainty about future economic conditions based on the language used in news media articles.
Q: Why is this trend relevant for users or analysts?
A: This forward-looking uncertainty measure is an important indicator for policymakers, investors, and economists to gauge economic risks and inform their decisions.
Q: How is this data collected or calculated?
A: The index is calculated using natural language processing techniques to quantify uncertainty mentions in news media.
Q: How is this trend used in economic policy?
A: The Federal Reserve and other institutions closely monitor this uncertainty index to assess the economic outlook and inform policy decisions.
Q: Are there update delays or limitations?
A: The index is updated monthly by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, with minimal publication delays.
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Citation
U.S. Federal Reserve, JLN 1-Year Ahead Macroeconomic Uncertainty (JLNUM12M), retrieved from FRED.