Future Business Climate; Diffusion Index for FRB - New York District

BCFDINA066MNFRBNY • Economic Data from Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED)

Latest Value

-16.40

Year-over-Year Change

221.57%

Date Range

9/1/2004 - 7/1/2025

Summary

The Future Business Climate; Diffusion Index for FRB - New York District tracks business sentiment and expectations in the New York Federal Reserve district. It serves as an important leading indicator for regional economic activity and business investment.

Analysis & Context

This economic indicator provides valuable insights into current market conditions and economic trends. The data is updated regularly by the Federal Reserve and represents one of the most reliable sources for economic analysis.

Understanding this metric helps economists, policymakers, and investors make informed decisions about economic conditions and future trends. The interactive chart above allows you to explore historical patterns and identify key trends over time.

About This Dataset

This index measures the percentage of businesses in the New York Fed district that expect improving conditions versus those that expect worsening conditions over the next six months. It provides insight into the future business outlook and can signal turning points in the regional economy.

Methodology

The data is collected through a monthly business survey conducted by the New York Fed.

Historical Context

The index is closely watched by policymakers, economists, and investors as an early signal of economic trends.

Key Facts

  • The index ranges from 0 to 100, with 50 indicating neutral sentiment.
  • It has been published monthly since the 1980s.
  • A reading above 50 signals optimism about future business conditions.

FAQs

Q: What does this economic trend measure?

A: The Future Business Climate; Diffusion Index for FRB - New York District measures the percentage of businesses in the New York Federal Reserve district that expect improving conditions versus those that expect worsening conditions over the next six months.

Q: Why is this trend relevant for users or analysts?

A: The index provides insight into future business outlook and can signal turning points in the regional economy, making it a closely watched indicator by policymakers, economists, and investors.

Q: How is this data collected or calculated?

A: The data is collected through a monthly business survey conducted by the New York Fed.

Q: How is this trend used in economic policy?

A: The index is used by the Federal Reserve and other policymakers to gauge regional economic conditions and inform monetary and fiscal policy decisions.

Q: Are there update delays or limitations?

A: The index is published monthly with no significant update delays, providing timely insight into business sentiment in the New York Fed district.

Related Trends

Citation

U.S. Federal Reserve, Future Business Climate; Diffusion Index for FRB - New York District (BCFDINA066MNFRBNY), retrieved from FRED.