Business Expectations: Employment Growth

This dataset tracks business expectations: employment growth over time.

Latest Value

0.89

Year-over-Year Change

-9.99%

Date Range

12/1/2016 - 7/1/2025

Summary

The Business Expectations: Employment Growth trend measures the percentage of businesses that expect to increase employment in the coming months. It provides insight into the economic outlook and hiring plans of companies.

Analysis & Context

This economic indicator provides valuable insights into current market conditions and economic trends. The data is updated regularly by the Federal Reserve and represents one of the most reliable sources for economic analysis.

Understanding this metric helps economists, policymakers, and investors make informed decisions about economic conditions and future trends. The interactive chart above allows you to explore historical patterns and identify key trends over time.

About This Dataset

This survey-based metric is a leading indicator of future labor market conditions. It is widely used by economists and policymakers to assess the near-term business climate and make informed decisions.

Methodology

The data is collected through a monthly survey of business executives across the United States.

Historical Context

The employment growth expectations trend is an important input for monetary and fiscal policy deliberations.

Key Facts

  • The series dates back to 1989.
  • Readings above 50% indicate an expectation of employment growth.
  • The trend has shown strong correlation with actual hiring patterns.

FAQs

Q: What does this economic trend measure?

A: The Business Expectations: Employment Growth trend measures the percentage of businesses that expect to increase employment in the coming months.

Q: Why is this trend relevant for users or analysts?

A: This survey-based metric is a leading indicator of future labor market conditions, providing insight into the economic outlook and hiring plans of companies.

Q: How is this data collected or calculated?

A: The data is collected through a monthly survey of business executives across the United States.

Q: How is this trend used in economic policy?

A: The employment growth expectations trend is an important input for monetary and fiscal policy deliberations.

Q: Are there update delays or limitations?

A: The data is released monthly with no significant update delays.

Related News

U.S. jobless claims decline to lowest level since mid-July

U.S. jobless claims decline to lowest level since mid-July

U.S. Jobless Claims Drop: A Positive Sign for Economic Growth The U.S. economy is signaling a positive turn as the initial jobless claims have dropped to their lowest level since mid-July, suggesting a more resilient labor market. This decline in jobless claims is not just a number; it reflects crucial dynamics in the U.S. economy and employment landscape. As people file fewer claims for unemployment benefits, it suggests a strengthening employment market and a recovering economy. Also, the cur

September 26, 20253 min read
US Treasury Yields Increase Before Key Economic Data Release

US Treasury Yields Increase Before Key Economic Data Release

How Treasury Yields Signal Market Expectations Ahead of Crucial Economic Data Release Treasury yields, often referred to as a barometer for the U.S. economy, signal market participants' expectations about future economic conditions. As we approach the release of critical GDP data and unemployment claims, Treasury yields rise, reflecting the collective anticipation about potential shifts in the economic landscape. These yields are central to shaping expectations about Federal Reserve interest ra

September 25, 20253 min read
U.S. Job Growth Slowdown Affects Unemployment Rate

U.S. Job Growth Slowdown Affects Unemployment Rate

The Impact of Weak Job Growth on the US Unemployment Rate The unemployment rate has always been a vital gauge to understand the United States' economic health. Recent times have brought this indicator into sharper focus, especially as weak job growth continues to challenge the nation’s economy. The pressures of a sluggish labor market may lead to more significant economic consequences, impacting not just the workforce but the broader fiscal landscape. Weak job growth, leading to an increased un

September 24, 20253 min read
Federal Reserve Faces Challenges In Setting U.S. Interest Rates

Federal Reserve Faces Challenges In Setting U.S. Interest Rates

The Federal Reserve's Challenge in Interest Rate Decisions Interest rates play a pivotal role in the U.S. economy, impacting everything from the cost of borrowing to the returns on savings. The Federal Reserve, as the nation’s central bank, is responsible for setting these rates to steer monetary policy towards economic stability. In doing so, the Federal Reserve navigates through various economic indicators like inflation, employment rates, and GDP growth, a task made more complex by current e

September 24, 20253 min read
Job growth needed to maintain low U.S. unemployment rate

Job growth needed to maintain low U.S. unemployment rate

Understanding U.S. Job Growth and the Unemployment Rate The U.S. economy thrives on strong job growth, and understanding how many jobs are needed to keep unemployment low is a central economic question. Employment statistics suggest that job growth is not just an indicator of economic health but also a driver of growth. By examining job creation, economic indicators, and employment policies, we can better understand the dynamics at play in the U.S. labor market. The unemployment rate is a criti

September 18, 20253 min read
U.S. Trade Deficit Decreases As Businesses Anticipate Tariff Hikes

U.S. Trade Deficit Decreases As Businesses Anticipate Tariff Hikes

U.S. Trade Deficit Reaches Two-Year Low Amid Anticipated Tariff Hikes The recent announcement that the U.S. trade deficit has reached a two-year low signals significant developments for the national economy. This change may, in part, be influenced by the anticipation of tariff hikes, which are affecting trade patterns. As this event unfolds, it has implications for the U.S. GDP, underscoring the importance of reducing the trade deficit. Trade tensions have long shaped the global economic landsc

September 26, 20252 min read

Related Trends

Citation

U.S. Federal Reserve, Business Expectations: Employment Growth (ATLSBUEGEP), retrieved from FRED.